Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.005602 0.005922 0.006254 0.006625 0.007027 0.007452 0.007936
2026-01-04 0.005115 0.005588 0.006102 0.006705 0.007396 0.008170 0.009107
2026-01-11 0.004741 0.005290 0.005906 0.006653 0.007543 0.008580 0.009893
2026-01-18 0.004479 0.005082 0.005776 0.006640 0.007702 0.008982 0.010668
2026-01-25 0.004242 0.004880 0.005627 0.006580 0.007782 0.009274 0.011308
2026-02-01 0.004140 0.004825 0.005645 0.006715 0.008101 0.009873 0.012378
2026-02-08 0.003975 0.004683 0.005543 0.006686 0.008199 0.010183 0.013077
2026-02-15 0.003840 0.004568 0.005466 0.006681 0.008321 0.010525 0.013836
2026-02-22 0.003680 0.004413 0.005329 0.006584 0.008309 0.010676 0.014325
2026-03-01 0.003539 0.004276 0.005205 0.006498 0.008302 0.010828 0.014820
2026-03-08 0.003442 0.004190 0.005146 0.006492 0.008404 0.011136 0.015572
2026-03-15 0.003275 0.004006 0.004947 0.006284 0.008206 0.010989 0.015592
2026-03-22 0.003202 0.003946 0.004913 0.006306 0.008341 0.011351 0.016468
2026-03-29 0.003154 0.003915 0.004917 0.006381 0.008558 0.011849 0.017616
2026-04-05 0.003066 0.003827 0.004839 0.006333 0.008585 0.012053 0.018276
2026-04-12 0.002995 0.003761 0.004787 0.006320 0.008665 0.012341 0.019109
2026-04-19 0.002915 0.003678 0.004709 0.006265 0.008673 0.012511 0.019739
2026-04-26 0.002898 0.003682 0.004753 0.006391 0.008971 0.013180 0.021374
2026-05-03 0.002833 0.003618 0.004698 0.006364 0.009023 0.013432 0.022228
2026-05-10 0.002779 0.003567 0.004658 0.006358 0.009108 0.013746 0.023238
2026-05-17 0.002703 0.003481 0.004565 0.006268 0.009048 0.013799 0.023710
2026-05-24 0.002633 0.003402 0.004482 0.006188 0.009000 0.013868 0.024225
2026-05-31 0.002587 0.003358 0.004447 0.006182 0.009077 0.014170 0.025276